MAPI Expects Factory Construction Growth to Continue Over Next Few Years

posted on 10.17.14

After years of factory closings shrank the nation’s industrial footprint, a mini-boom in plant construction is beginning to reverse the trend and fuel faster economic growth.

A 12.6% surge in spending on non-residential structures — notably new and expanding factories — was a big reason for last week’s upward revision of second quarter economic growth. The Commerce Department said the economy expanded at a 4.6% annual rate, up from its previous 4.2% estimate and the strongest growth in 2 ½ years.

An auto sales boom, the housing recovery and the oil and natural gas drilling frenzy are all forcing manufacturers to build or enlarge plants to supply these industries. Factory output is up 3.2% so far this year after rising 2.6% in 2013.

“Manufacturers are relatively upbeat about the next few months and that’s really playing into increased investment,” says Chad Moutray, chief economist of the National Association of Manufacturers.

Spending on construction or renovation of factories is up 12% so far this year after being virtually flat in 2013, Census Bureau figures show. After declining steadily since 1998 as much of U.S. production moved offshore, the number of US factories has stabilized since last year and should grow modestly over the next couple of years, says Dan Meckstroth, chief economist of MAPI, the manufacturing industry’s research arm.

Early in the recovery that began in 2009, manufacturers met a rebound in demand mostly by buying new equipment, Meckstroth says. Also, he says, just-in-time inventory principles called for producers to cut costs by stockpiling fewer parts that required less floor space.

But factories were running at 77.3% of capacity in August, up from 63.9% in 2009 and near prerecession levels. With the economy humming, manufacturers are stepping up output and introducing new product lines, often requiring expanded facilities.

That means more good news for the economy. While new equipment purchases alone may let some manufacturers produce more with fewer workers, additional factory space is almost inevitably followed by more hiring, Meckstroth says. Manufacturing employment is up by 105,000 so far this year, compared to a increase of 88,000 for all of 2013.

Mitsubishi Caterpillar Forklift America recently hired 50 employees — and plans to hire another 50 by early next year — to work in a $10 million factory it built last November next to its existing plant in Houston.

New or expanded factories further lift the economy by providing employment for construction workers, such Ken Simonson, chief economist of Associated General Contractors, a trade group.

Article provided in partnership with MAPI.  Written by Paul Davidson, USA Today, Sept. 2014.